How is the pound exchange rate forecasted?

Excuse me, I'm curious about the forecast for the pound exchange rate. Could you please elaborate on the factors that influence its prediction? Do economic indicators like inflation, interest rates, and trade balances play a significant role? Additionally, how do political events and global economic trends impact the pound's exchange rate? Is there a specific methodology or algorithm used by financial analysts to make these predictions? And finally, what's the current consensus among experts on the direction of the pound's exchange rate in the NEAR future? Thank you in advance for your insights.