How accurate is PlanB's bitcoin prediction?

Could you elaborate on the accuracy of PlanB's Bitcoin prediction? Many in the crypto community have been eagerly anticipating his predictions, so it's important to assess their validity. Are there any key factors that support or undermine his projections? Have his past predictions proven to be reliable indicators of Bitcoin's future price movements? Additionally, what is the methodology behind his forecasting, and how does it compare to other popular prediction models in the crypto space?